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In forex trading, traders must deeply understand the essentials of buying low and selling high, as well as selling high and buying low.
In an uptrend, the wise move is to buy low and sell high; in a downtrend, selling high and buying low is the best strategy. However, many traders often do the opposite: selling high and buying low in an uptrend ultimately leads to stop-loss orders; buying low and selling high in a downtrend also leads to stop-loss orders. This trend-defying strategy is a common mistake among short-term traders, while long-term investors typically follow the trend and are less likely to suffer such losses.
Countless successful forex traders advise beginners to avoid short-term trading, as it requires not only precise market judgment but also strong mental fortitude and strict discipline. Traders who can follow market trends and patiently wait for the right entry and exit points can achieve steady profits in the forex market.
In forex trading, blindly following the herd's breakout strategy can easily lead traders into market traps.
This strategy lacks in-depth analysis of market trends and fundamentals, relying solely on short-term market fluctuations and public sentiment. It is highly susceptible to market manipulation and false signals. For example, when a seemingly strong breakout signal appears, many traders may follow the trend and buy without sufficient verification. This signal may simply be a false alarm created by market manipulators to lure followers into the market, allowing them to profit from selling at a high point.
Furthermore, blindly following the herd can cause traders to neglect their own trading plans and risk management. Driven by market sentiment, traders may rush to follow the herd without considering their own financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading objectives. This impulsive behavior often leaves traders unprepared for market reversals, ultimately forcing them to exit at a loss, or even depleting their funds due to overtrading. Therefore, when using breakout trading strategies, traders should incorporate their own analysis and judgment and avoid blindly following the crowd. Specifically, traders can take the following steps to mitigate risk:
Before following the trend, traders should use technical and fundamental analysis to confirm that the market is truly in a clear trend. For example, they can observe whether the price has broken through important resistance or support levels, and whether technical indicators such as volume support the trend.
When a breakout signal appears, traders should not rush to follow the trend but instead wait for further confirmation. For example, they can observe whether the price continues to rise or fall, and whether other technical indicators support the breakout.
Traders should develop a detailed trading plan based on their capital situation and risk tolerance, including entry points, stop-loss points, and take-profit points. When following the trend, they should also strictly adhere to this plan to avoid unnecessary losses caused by emotional decisions.
When market sentiment is high, traders should remain calm and avoid being swayed by the crowd. Remember, market sentiment is often short-lived, and true trends require time and data to verify.
Through these measures, traders can avoid blindly following trends when employing breakout trading strategies, thereby reducing the risk of falling into market traps and increasing their trading success rate.
In the technical analysis system of forex trading, left-side trading and right-side trading are two distinct yet independent entry strategies, reflecting different traders' understandings of and responses to market trends.
Left-side trading focuses on "predicting trend reversals," while right-side trading focuses on "confirming trend continuation." While the two differ significantly in timing, risk control, and applicable scenarios, they together constitute the core methodology of technical traders.
Left-side trading, often referred to as "counter-trend positioning," is typically used to pick bottoms and tops in market conditions. It is essentially a retracement trading method. The core logic of this strategy is to anticipate reversal signals at the end of a trend and enter the market before the price has clearly turned, attempting to capture the "critical point" of a trend reversal. For example, when a long-term decline reaches its bottom or a long-term rise reaches its top, left-side traders begin positioning themselves. They don't wait for clear reversal signals. Instead, they analyze factors like cyclical structure and volume fluctuations to determine whether prices are currently at a "value trough" or "risk-ridden" level, and then gradually build positions.
The key to left-side trading lies in understanding the "big cycle." As market practice demonstrates, effective bottom-picking or top-picking strategies must be based on the completion of a big-cycle trend. When the market enters a period of consolidation at the bottom or top after a long decline or rise, left-side traders use this period to implement long-term, light-weight positions. They begin with a small position for trial and error, and if the price moves further in the expected direction, they gradually increase their position, accumulating shares by "trading time for space." This strategy offers the advantage of lowering the cost of entering the trend, but also carries significant risks. Misjudging the cycle can lead to the dilemma of "picking the bottom halfway up" or "picking the top at the starting point," requiring significant patience and risk tolerance.
In contrast to left-side trading, right-side trading involves entering the market with a "trend-following" approach. This approach typically involves chasing both rising and falling markets, and can essentially be classified as a breakout trading strategy. The core logic of this strategy is to forgo anticipating trend reversals and wait for clear signs of trend continuation before entering the market. This trade sacrifices some early profits in exchange for greater certainty. For example, in an uptrend, right-side traders avoid rushing to buy at the beginning of a pullback, waiting for the price to break through previous resistance levels and confirm the end of the pullback before entering the market. In a downtrend, they wait until the price breaks through previous support levels and confirms the end of the rebound before entering a short position.
The key to right-side trading lies in confirming a "key level breakout." As market experience demonstrates, effective right-side entry requires waiting for a full market correction to complete. Right-side traders only act when the market repeatedly oscillates around key support or resistance levels, ultimately failing to be broken by opposing forces and establishing a clear breakout direction. After a breakout occurs, they confirm its validity by observing signals such as volume and candlestick patterns. They then begin with a small position for trial and error. If the trend continues, they gradually increase their position, accumulating profits as the trend continues. The advantages of this approach are a high win rate and manageable risk. However, the disadvantages are the risk of missing out on some profits in the early stages of the trend and the need to be wary of stop-loss risks caused by "false breakouts."
Fundamentally, the difference between left-side and right-side trading stems from different trade-offs between "risk and opportunity": left-side trading seeks to seize opportunities, trading higher uncertainty for lower costs; right-side trading seeks certainty, reducing risk at the expense of some profits. Neither strategy is inherently superior; the key lies in the trader's ability to flexibly apply it based on their personality, risk appetite, and market environment. Right-side trading is often more effective in markets with clear trends and high volatility; however, at the end of a trend and during periods of consolidation with narrowing volatility, left-side trading may hold greater potential.
For forex investors, whether trading on the left or right side, the key lies in establishing a trading system that matches their strategy: left-side trading requires strict position management and cycle analysis skills, while right-side trading relies on filtering breakout signals and judging trend continuity. Blindly choosing strategies without considering one's own capabilities and market conditions is often the root cause of trading losses. Only by understanding the essence of both strategies can one find a suitable entry rhythm amidst the volatility of the forex market.
In long-term forex trading, time is the most expensive cost.
Picking the bottom or top on the left side may seem like buying at the lowest point and selling at the highest point, but in reality, it's a gamble against time: if you bet wrong, the market may remain sideways at the bottom or top for years, trapping both capital and psychology. Breakout strategies, on the other hand, focus on one thing: letting the market prove itself.
When the price breaks through a key level with large volume, acceleration, and a structural reversal after a prolonged period of consolidation, a new trend is born. Entering the market at this point not only skips five years or even longer of chaotic volatility, but also places positions at the starting line of a new trend: buy when a bullish position is established, sell when a bearish position is established, aligning time and direction. Left-side trading bets on turning points, right-side trading follows confirmation; the former trades time for cost, while the latter trades signals for efficiency. For long-term funds, the latter truly "buys time."
In forex trading, the difference between retracement trading and right-side breakout trading strategies is essentially a matter of matching different trading personalities with market rhythms. The former caters to long-term investors who are willing to be trapped, while the latter suits trend-focused traders who are unwilling to wait. This difference isn't about superiority or inferiority, but rather compatibility.
Retracement trading, especially the left-side bottom-fishing retracement entry strategy, can be considered a "special tool" for value traders. The core logic of this type of trader is the mismatch between price and value: when a currency's price falls below its intrinsic value (e.g., diverging from indicators like economic profits and purchasing power), they are willing to take the risk of being trapped in a short-term position, waiting for a prolonged period of consolidation. This "active trapping" isn't blind risk-taking, but rather a firm belief in the return of value. Particularly in a market with a positive interest rate differential, the accumulating interest becomes a crucial safety net—even if prices remain sideways for extended periods, daily interest income provides positive feedback for holding positions, transforming the "waiting" from a simple agony into a rewarding wait. Traders who can maintain this strategy are often "slow-burners": they can tolerate the psychological volatility of price fluctuations and view trading as a long-term value game, not a short-term price speculation. For them, time is not an enemy, but a friend in accumulating value and interest.
In stark contrast to retracement trading, right-side breakout trading approaches prioritize time efficiency. Trend traders prioritize market momentum and are reluctant to expend their energy on lengthy periods of consolidation. They believe that prolonged holding not only costs capital but also incurs constant mental strain: anxiety about a sluggish trend, self-doubt about misjudgments, and envy of other currency pairs' trends—these combined emotions can destabilize their trading mindset. These traders are often impatient: they cannot tolerate uncertainty and prefer to enter the market quickly once a trend is established, trading certainty for peace of mind. The right-side breakout strategy perfectly meets this need—it skips the consolidation period and enters the market the instant the trend structure changes, allowing trading rhythm to match emotional tolerance.
However, in the forex market, there's no single definitive answer to the question of "which personality type is best suited for trading." Slow traders can hold onto value during prolonged periods of consolidation, but may regret missing out on the explosive momentum of a trend launch. Impatient traders can accurately capture trend momentum, but may lack patience and frequently stop losses on false breakouts. While accumulating interest in a positive interest rate differential is like honey to value traders, it can become a "cost of unwillingness to wait" for trend traders. Meanwhile, the fleeting opportunity of a trend breakout is a feast for trend traders, but for value traders, it can be seen as a "buy-and-sell trap."
Ultimately, the choice of trading strategy is an extension of the trader's personality: some enjoy the assured "get rich slowly" from accumulating interest, while others seek the reassurance of "quick results" from a trend breakout. The market is like a mirror; it reflects not the strengths and weaknesses of personality, but the consistency between different personalities and trading logic. The most suitable strategy is the one that allows you to maintain a stable mindset and consistent execution. Just as there is no perfect personality, there is no universal trading method. The charm of the forex market lies in its ability to accommodate every personality type. The key lies in finding a rhythm that suits your temperament.
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Mr. Z-X-N
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