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All the problems in forex short-term trading,
Have answers here!
All the troubles in forex long-term investment,
Have echoes here!
All the psychological doubts in forex investment,
Have empathy here!


For traders who have cut their teeth in the zero-sum arena of two-way forex trading, never having ventured into the A-share market may well be a stroke of professional good fortune.
The A-share market emerged in the 1990s with a top-level design driven from the outset by a political mission: to rescue state-owned enterprises from distress and inject capital into the real economy. Fundraising was prioritized above all else, while investor protection was merely a shortcoming to be addressed piecemeal later on. This logic of evolution differs fundamentally from that of the US stock market. The US market originated from spontaneous private trading demand—where the market existed before the rules—and its regulatory framework was established in response to the need to curb abuses like fraud and market manipulation. Its institutional design was inherently aimed at upholding market credibility and trading fairness. This fundamental genetic difference has imbued the A-share market with a long-standing bias toward fundraising over investor returns, whereas the US market operates on the pillars of credibility and efficient capital circulation.
Admittedly, this does not mean the A-share market is entirely indifferent to investor rights. Recent years have seen the implementation of the registration-based IPO system, stricter delisting rules, the advancement of class-action lawsuits and advance compensation mechanisms, and greater accountability for intermediaries—all attempts to rectify deep-seated historical ills. However, chronic issues accumulated over decades cannot be eradicated overnight; retail traders still face multiple pitfalls, including information asymmetry, chaotic corporate governance, and financial fraud. In contrast, while the US market is also an arena of capital competition dominated by institutions, its investor protection measures are largely institutional arrangements designed to maintain the credibility of the capital market as a whole; only when external capital flows in consistently can large enterprises raise funds smoothly and capital be allocated efficiently. The US market is not free from market cap manipulation or financial traps, but a century of institutional evolution and the high cost of misconduct have kept the scope for wrongdoing within relatively manageable limits.
For traders accustomed to the two-way dynamics of the forex market, recognizing these fundamental differences in institutional DNA and developmental paths is far more valuable than merely indulging in complaints. The A-share market’s nature as a fundraising vehicle will persist for the long term; harboring any fantasy that the market will voluntarily favor retail investors represents a fatal risk exposure. Traders must establish an independent risk management framework, steering clear of assets driven solely by narratives, prone to repeated cash-grabs, or plagued by chaotic governance; instead, they should allocate limited capital to instruments characterized by financial transparency, solid core operations, and stable cash flows. Institutional evolution and the restoration of the market ecosystem are protracted processes; during this interim, rather than pinning hopes on external regulatory intervention, traders should rely on a profound understanding of the rules and independent data analysis to safeguard their principal. Grasping the market's underlying logic, adapting to environmental constraints, and strictly adhering to capital safety boundaries constitute the fundamental path to long-term survival and sustained profitability in any capital market.

Within the two-way trading system of forex investment, long-term traders should proactively avoid major currency pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY, as these are precisely the battlegrounds most favored by short-term speculators.
Long-term trends in the forex market do not emerge in a vacuum; they are rooted in the stability of position structures and the depth of accumulated capital. Constrained by limited insight and capital volume, the vast majority of retail traders naturally gravitate toward short-term speculation, resulting in highly fragmented position structures and high turnover rates for major currency pairs. When the market lacks "ballast"—in the form of long-term capital capable of holding positions firmly across market cycles—prices lose the physical foundation required for trend extension, leaving them to oscillate repeatedly under the sway of short-term sentiment and news flows. The core logic of long-term trading lies in capturing high-certainty trends driven by macroeconomic fundamentals; this requires assets to possess the attribute of capital accumulation (or "locked-in" holdings), a prerequisite that is fundamentally at odds with instruments dominated by short-term capital.
This logic—that position structure determines the quality of a trend—shares a profound structural parallel with the analysis of shareholding concentration in the stock market. In stock investing, the common characteristics preceding the launch of a "bull stock" invariably point to a high concentration of shares held by major players and a minimal number of retail accounts. When shares are deeply locked in by institutional capital and long-term investors, and the market's "floating supply" has been thoroughly shaken out, selling pressure drops to a freezing point; with resistance to upward movement significantly diminished, the stock price is then able to embark on a smooth, powerful primary rally. Conversely, a common flaw of "junk stocks" and assets in long-term decline is the overcrowding of retail investors; while they may generate high market buzz, the sheer number of shareholder accounts—often reaching hundreds of thousands or even over a million—indicates that share ownership is extremely fragmented. Under this structure, no major institutional player is willing to "carry the sedan chair" for a massive crowd of retail investors, as any upward push would trigger relentless selling pressure from those looking to lock in profits or exit positions at break-even. Even more fatal is the "stubborn hold" mentality—where retail investors refuse to cut their losses—which drains the stock of the momentum needed for ownership turnover. This ultimately traps the stock in a quagmire of prolonged sideways movement, slow grinding declines, and repeated bottom-testing, where retail investors essentially wear each other out.
The zero-sum nature of the stock market dictates that the vast majority of participants cannot turn a profit; at its core, a rising share price represents a transfer of wealth from the many to the few. Concentrated ownership implies that a minority holds the shares, creating the collective force needed to drive a bull market; conversely, fragmented ownership means everyone is already in the market, leaving no new capital willing to step in and bid up prices, inevitably leading to stagnation or a slow decline. Long-term traders must clearly recognize that their true counterparty is not the institutional "big money," but rather the fellow retail investors who refuse to exit. When a massive number of retail investors huddle together and stubbornly hold their positions, the stock loses the micro-level foundation required for an upward trend. Therefore, when formulating stock selection strategies, the number of shareholder accounts should be treated as a critical "mine-detection" filter. Priority should be given to stocks where the number of accounts is steadily declining and sits at historical lows, while resolutely avoiding popular large-cap stocks characterized by a growing or persistently high number of retail shareholders. Stocks labeled as "mass-market favorites," "low-priced large-cap blue chips," or "viral hits" are often hotspots for retail overcrowding, making it extremely difficult for long-term capital to generate significant market rallies within them. The retail mindset that equates "safety" with "high buyer volume" is a major fallacy; in capital markets, the most crowded areas are often the most dangerous. Of course, the number of shareholder accounts is merely a reference indicator rather than the sole criterion; one must conduct a comprehensive analysis factoring in price levels, industry health, and fundamentals. Nevertheless, using this metric as a filter to avoid the "pitfalls" of long-term, slow-declining stocks can significantly improve the odds of success in long-term investing.
This same logic applies equally to long-term forex trading. Long-term traders should shed their fixation on short-term "hot" assets and instead seek out instruments capable of anchoring substantial long-term capital and maintaining a relatively stable holding structure. Only when speculative, "floating" capital has been thoroughly flushed out and long-term capital emerges as the dominant force can a trend driven by macroeconomic fundamentals truly unfold. This demands the patience and resolve to look beyond short-term volatility, the ability to see past market noise, and a profound understanding of how holding structures determine the quality of a trend. In the forex market, genuine long-term opportunities often lie hidden within currency pairs overlooked or temporarily shunned by short-term capital, rather than in the bustling, mainstream pairs. Only by steadfastly adhering to this principle can long-term traders build a reliable, profitable system amidst the complex ecosystem of two-way forex trading.

In the practical execution of two-way forex trading, frequent stop-loss actions continuously erode a trader's confidence and trading edge, gradually wearing down the courage required to make decisive moves and trade with the market trend.
Trading markets are inherently volatile and unpredictable. Each stop-loss event represents not only a realized or floating loss but also a test that grinds down and drains the trader's mindset. Prolonged exposure to high-frequency stop-loss scenarios passively depletes a trader's mental resilience, causing them to lose the boldness needed to make proactive judgments and decisively open or hold positions.
The logic behind this mental erosion mirrors the psychological transformation people undergo after facing repeated hardships in real life. When ordinary individuals repeatedly encounter setbacks and adversity, their once-high spirits are worn down, and their initial confidence gradually dissolves. Their innate talents, accumulated skills, and practical experience become stifled by a negative mindset; eventually, they shed their initial ambition, compromise, accept mediocrity, and lose the drive for breakthroughs and progress.
Similarly, the long-term accumulation of negative trading emotions can plunge a forex trader into a state of mental oppression and numbness. Constantly facing setbacks—such as stop-loss hits, missed opportunities, and errors in judgment—leads to a buildup of anxiety, self-doubt, and timidity. Without an outlet for release, traders may lose their keen market intuition and passion for trading, becoming trapped in a cycle of passive, hesitant, and timid decision-making. However, having a friend, family member, or fellow trader with whom one can speak with complete candor and without reservation provides a vital outlet for these pent-up emotions. This allows the trader to shed their psychological burden, resolve inner turmoil, stabilize their mindset, and regain the confidence and drive needed to move forward.
For forex traders, that inner "edge"—that spirited determination—is the core foundation for success in the market. Only when a trader maintains a balanced and composed state of mind can their accumulated experience, analytical abilities, and trading skills be fully realized and effectively applied. Thus, it is evident that timely management of negative trading emotions and the proactive release of psychological stress through sharing are crucial for traders to stabilize their execution, maintain a balanced mindset, and preserve their competitive edge. The continuous erosion of a trader's mindset and confidence caused by frequent stop-loss actions is precisely the underlying psychological reason why investors are advised against blindly engaging in high-frequency, short-term trading. The heavy toll of frequent stop-losses associated with such trading styles can easily shatter a trader's psychological resilience, causing them to lose the ability to make sound judgments and execute trades effectively.

In the realm of forex trading—a field characterized by intense strategic competition—there remains an insurmountable gap in the transmission of experience from successful traders to others. This is not a matter of subjective will, but is dictated by the very nature of trading itself.
The core competencies of forex trading are not explicit skills that can be mass-produced through standardized courses; the teachable aspects—such as the use of indicators, position sizing rules, and risk control ratios—represent merely the superficial framework of trading. The tacit experience that truly determines success or failure—including the wisdom gained from navigating full market cycles, maintaining composure amidst price fluctuations, and possessing deep insight into market sentiment and human nature—must be personally experienced and repeatedly internalized by the trader through actual market volatility. This quality, which can be grasped intuitively but defies verbal explanation, constitutes the fundamental bottleneck in forex trading education and explains why successful traders are difficult to emulate and their experiences hard to pass on.
Success in forex trading cannot be forced; it is a comprehensive test of cognition, experience, temperament, and opportunity—lacking any single element makes it difficult to go far. Others can teach the form of trading but cannot convey its spirit. Without having experienced the psychological stress of risking real capital, without having suffered the pitfalls of massive account drawdowns due to a failure to use stop-losses, and without having endured the adversity of maintaining system discipline after a string of losses, one will still lose composure when the market moves, even if one has memorized trading methods by heart. The nature of this learning process—which demands hands-on experience—renders forex trading education inherently unpredictable and ensures that the experiences of successful traders cannot be simply replicated or passed on.
Without the right timing, the necessary level of understanding, or sufficient intuitive insight, no amount of deliberate pursuit can capture the true essence of trading. Ultimately, forex trading is not merely a technical pursuit; it is a process of self-cultivation. True masters of the craft often develop muscle memory and conditioned reflexes through long-term, deliberate practice, eventually achieving a state where knowledge and action are perfectly aligned. At this level, trading decisions become instinctive—feeling entirely natural and inevitable. This intuition, forged through extensive practical experience, defies precise verbal articulation. While insights from successful traders may offer inspiration, large-scale professional instruction often fails to reach the core of trading; the "Way" of trading cannot be taught—it must be realized individually. Any "Way" that can be fully taught is no longer the true "Way."
In the realm of two-way forex trading, the experience of successful traders cannot be learned or taught at will; this is determined by the tacit nature of trading experience, the necessity of internalizing practice, and the irreplaceable nature of an individual's comprehensive qualities. Only by enduring adversity, grasping the nuances of human nature, and cultivating the right mindset within the real market can one fuse the form and spirit of trading into a unified whole and forge a unique trading path.

Within the forex two-way trading system, the path to achieving a cumulative profit of one million USD can be broadly categorized into three operational models, distinguished by their respective trading cycles and position-holding frequencies.
The first approach involves accumulating 100 profitable orders, each yielding a gain of $10,000. This model is characterized by low trading frequency and allows for extended holding periods, meaning traders do not need to expend energy constantly monitoring the market. Success hinges on the ability to analyze medium-to-long-term trends and capture significant price swings. While the margin for error is relatively generous, the limited number of trades means that position sizing and the outcome of each individual trade decisively impact the overall profit goal; a single large realized loss could easily derail the entire plan. This strategy is best suited for traders who specialize in medium-to-long-term positions and capturing major market swings.
The second approach entails accumulating 1,000 profitable orders, with a target profit of $1,000 per trade. This method involves moderate trading frequency, with a holding rhythm that falls between short-term day trading and medium-to-long-term swing trading. It relies heavily on a trader's consistent entry win rate and strict adherence to take-profit discipline. In practice, traders must avoid the significant drawdowns that can result from the accumulation of frequent small losses, while ensuring that the vast majority of trades reach their preset profit targets. This is currently the most widely recognized and adopted path to consistent profitability among forex market participants. The third approach requires accumulating 10,000 profitable trades, each locking in a modest profit of just $100. This is a strategy characterized by ultra-high trading frequency, leaning towards ultra-short-term scalping and strictly intraday position closing. It places near-stringent demands on a trader's real-time execution capabilities, market intuition, and psychological stability. The cumulative impact of transaction fees and market slippage from such high-frequency trading constantly erodes net profits; even minor losses on individual trades can balloon into massive aggregate losses over the course of ten thousand transactions. This model pushes the requirements for trading discipline, strict stop-loss execution, and meticulous position management to the absolute limit, making it extremely difficult for the average trader to consistently implement over the long term.
Ultimately, available trading capital is merely the foundation for achieving profit goals. Success hinges on breaking down ambitious profit targets into actionable rules for individual trades, a fixed rhythm for opening positions, and a standardized risk control system—all implemented through consistent, day-to-day execution. From a practical standpoint, short-term high-frequency trading presents the highest barrier to execution and the greatest challenge to maintaining stability among the three models; in contrast, a long-term strategy combined with light position sizing and risk control offers a more viable path for the average trader to achieve consistent, positive results over the long haul.



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Mr. Z-X-N
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